Brad Keselowski Projected for Strong Run at 2026 Quaker State 400

Brad Keselowski is projected to make a strong run toward the title at the 2026 Quaker State 400 on Sunday, July 12, at EchoPark Speedway. The NASCAR model from Mike McClure, a legendary DFS pro with over $2 million in winnings, sees Keselowski as a top value at +1800 odds.

McClure's model simulates every lap of NASCAR action 10,000 times. It has nailed 30 winners since 2021, including Denny Hamlin's back-to-back wins at Michigan and Pocono last month.

For Atlanta, the model is high on Keselowski. He has two career victories at this track and six top-3 finishes at EchoPark, including a strong run in this race last year.

Keselowski knows how to get around EchoPark Speedway. Beyond his two wins, he has several near misses there.

His team, RFK Racing, also has a solid track record at this venue. Across RFK's last six starts at Atlanta, five have been top-15s, with three inside the top 10.

The model is fading the favorite, Ryan Blaney (+1000). Simulations show Blaney barely cracking the top 10. He has zero top-5s over his last 11 races.

Penske has also struggled at Atlanta lately. Four of the last six Penske starters at EchoPark have been involved in accidents, and none placed better than 10th.

Keselowski sits at +1800 odds on FanDuel. That makes him a longshot with serious upside, according to McClure's projections.

The model also likes two other longshots at +1800 or higher who could make a run for the top of the leaderboard. Those picks are available at SportsLine.

This is the third race of the NASCAR In-Season Challenge. The green flag drops at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday.

Tyler Reddick won the spring Atlanta race earlier this year. William Byron, Joey Logano, Keselowski, and Chase Elliott are all two-time winners at this track.

Nine drivers are listed between +1000 and +1400, making this one of the most competitive fields of the season. Keselowski's experience and RFK's recent form give him a real shot at a third Atlanta trophy.