Joey Logano favored in Atlanta NASCAR race despite winless season

Joey Logano heads into the Atlanta NASCAR race on July 13, 2026, as a betting favorite despite a winless season so far. The two-time Atlanta winner is listed at +1100 odds, trailing only Ryan Blaney (+1000) among favorites.

Logano’s recent success at Atlanta Motor Speedway explains his strong betting position. He has won two of the last seven races there, including victories in 2023 and 2024. However, his inconsistency is notable-when not winning, he often finishes mid-pack.

The track’s plate-race format, which restricts speeds, has made Atlanta less predictable than Daytona or Talladega. Only Daniel Suarez’s 2024 win qualifies as a true upset among the nine plate-race winners since 2022.

Ryan Blaney, the +1000 favorite, has just one Atlanta win in 16 career starts. Kyle Larson (+1200) and Chase Elliott (+1300) follow closely behind. Notably absent from the favorites is Denny Hamlin, who won at Atlanta just four months ago but has struggled since the track adopted the plate-race format.

Other contenders include Carson Hocevar, Christopher Bell, and William Byron, all at +1400. Longshot bets like Ricky Stenhouse (+4000) and BJ McLeod (+50000) add intrigue to the race.

Atlanta’s plate-race format creates a compressed odds board. Favorites aren’t heavily favored, and longshots aren’t extreme underdogs. The track’s history suggests that even underdogs like Cody Ware (+25000) or Chad Finchum (+50000) could make a late-race surge.

With 10 races now held under the plate-race format, Atlanta has proven to be a mix of consistency and chaos. Logano’s past success makes him a strong contender, but the field remains wide open.