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Ludvig Åberg Backed by Golf Model for 2026 Open Championship

2026-07-13 · Ludvig Åberg · Player Focus

Ludvig Åberg, a 26-year-old Swedish golfer, is among the underdog picks for the 2026 Open Championship, according to a golf model that has a history of being extremely profitable. Åberg, who has two PGA Tour victories and three top-10 finishes in majors, is seen as a strong value bet at +3300 odds.

Åberg has struggled a bit lately, but his run from March to mid-May shows how he can compete with the very best on tour. He had five top-10 finishes over seven tournaments in the spring, including a T4 finish at the PGA Championship.

The golf model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable. This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship.

The 2026 Open Championship tees off on Thursday from Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, England. Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm are among the favorites at sports betting sites to win the Open Championship 2026. However, if you are looking for value when online sports betting on the 2026 Open Championship, there are plenty of underdogs to consider, including Åberg, Viktor Hovland, and Justin Rose.

Åberg's recent form has been a bit of a concern, with finishes outside the top 15 in his last five tournaments, including missing the cut and finishing T55 in his last two events. However, McClure believes he's more the player we saw over the spring, and at 33-1 odds, the model sees strong value in backing Åberg.

Hovland, on the other hand, has had plenty of support in recent tournaments, with Norwegian pride prevalent with the nation's run to the World Cup quarterfinals. He won the Travelers Championship in Connecticut and finished T13 at last weekend's Scottish Open. Hovland has finished in the top 13 in three of five career Open Championships, and given his recent play and possibly European support once again, he's a longshot worth considering for 2026 Open Championship bets.

Rose has finished no worse than 11th in any of the first three majors this year, including T3 at the Masters. Although he's yet to win an Open Championship, he finished T2 twice (2024, 2018) and he's finished in the top 10 in five of his last 10 majors.

The model also sees value in Viktor Hovland (+4000) and Justin Rose (+4200) for 2026 Open Championship betting. New users can take advantage of the latest sign-up bonus at bet365. Check out our bet365 bonus code review now to see the newest offer and get started here:

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