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Scottie Scheffler eyes first PGA Tour win of 2026 at 3M Open

2026-07-22 · Scottie Scheffler · Player Focus

Scottie Scheffler returns to the PGA Tour this week chasing his first win of 2026 at the 3M Open, held at TPC Twin Cities in Minnesota.

What’s at stake for Scheffler?

After years of near-total dominance on Tour, Scheffler has gone winless so far in 2026 despite posting elite stats. The 3M Open offers a chance to end that streak at a course that rewards accuracy over power. TPC Twin Cities is littered with penalty areas, forcing players to shape shots and avoid trouble-areas where Scheffler excels.

Why this course fits Scheffler’s strengths

Data from the DataGolf Course Fit Tool shows TPC Twin Cities demands precision from tee to green. Scheffler’s iron play and driving accuracy should give him clear scoring chances in a field that lacks the usual top-tier names. Putting isn’t a predictive metric this week, which removes one of Scheffler’s few weak spots.

The odds and the field

Scheffler sits at +280 to win, the shortest price among top contenders. The field lacks elite depth, but the Minnesota stop still draws quality names. Ben Kohles (+65/1) and Ryder Cowan (+225/1) headline the mid-tier options, while longshots Brice Garnett (+300/1) and Hank Lebioda (+600/1) chase FedEx Cup points.

Scheffler’s path to victory

Scheffler’s game thrives on courses that punish wayward shots, and TPC Twin Cities fits that bill. His driving accuracy ranks in the 85th percentile this season, while his approach play sits in the 90th. Avoiding the penalty areas will be key-Scheffler has the tools to do exactly that.

The 3M Open runs July 24-27 at TPC Twin Cities in Eagan, Minnesota.

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